Here in the UK we have just had over 60,000 deaths from Coronavirus. Hospitalisations and deaths are ramping up again. I think that there is a very high possibility that this virus will become endemic, and our society will have to adjust to live with it. On the other hand, some countries in the Asia-Pacific region have very low case rates, and seem to be controlling the pandemic. I think that there is a definite possibility of a two-speed world economy, with much faster growth going to those countries that have managed to control the pandemic.
Over the last week or so, I’ve enjoyed the following blog posts / twitter threads.
We just finished watching “La Revolution” on Netflix. Very cool! It’s a lush, gritty series based around the French Revolution, but with a supernatural element. The cinematography is excellent. The story is gripping. Both Helen and I thoroughly enjoyed it!
I was listening to The Economist “Babbage” podcast yesterday, and was really struck my something Timoni West said. She mentioned Arthur C. Clarke’s Third Law - “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic”. She then said; “The reverse is also true - any sufficiently rigorous technology doesn’t feel like technology any more”.
This morning the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson, told the UK public to start preparing for a “No Deal” Brexit. Most commentators I follow on Twitter believe that there will be a trade deal - albeit a thin one. The Guardian has what I think is a good analysis of today’s analysis.
There is an interesting section in this letter from Bronte Capital about developing a behavioural model of the Coronavirus. The letter points out that as people's perceptions about the danger of going out and socialising increases, their behaviour will change which will lower the R rate in the epidemiology model. Other factors are obviously important. Without a good healthcare and welfare system, the citizens of countries like the U.S. have a greater incentive to go out and work despite an increase in perceived risk.
My blog is now live running my new blog engine. I decided to replace Wordpress with a lighter-weight and (hopefully) faster engine that I wrote myself. I started writing it towards the end of December, 2019. I stopped working on it for a long time, and then went back to it a couple of weeks ago. It should emulate the functionality of my old Wordpress site pretty well.